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2024-12-14 08:11:19

December 13th Morning Post: Heavy landing, be careful to cash in the risks!Anyway, the news is definitely positive, but they are all long-term positive, and most of them have long been expected. Now we can only say that they are in line with expectations. The above still wants to stimulate the spontaneous trading of the market through expectations, but yesterday, there was no mysterious capital entering the market, and A shares may not be able to break the Black Thursday spell.Overnight, European and American stock markets were mixed, and the three major indexes of US stocks continued to adjust. The Chinese stock index rose slightly by 0.02%, and the A50 index fell by 0.89%. The external sentiment was negative. Judging from the sudden diving in the A50 session at night, foreign capital is also in line with expectations, so it is necessary to guard against chasing up today.


Recently, domestic-funded institutions have made a large net outflow continuously, and the entry of mysterious funds is not continuous. Therefore, Lao Liu judged that once the incremental funds are insufficient to follow the trend, the market is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, so don't chase after it in the short term, especially in terms of consumption!2, the issuance of ultra long-term construction bonds, increase the use of local special bonds. This has always been a good hand at pulling GDP, and it is good for infrastructure and new quality productivity.


Let's briefly talk about yesterday's personal pension and heavy meeting that exceeded expectations, as well as the impact on A shares. Of course, it is purely personal and for reference only!First of all, personal pension is also a long-term positive, but the short-term stock of funds is limited. With more and more people participating, the scale of funds will expand accordingly, and the high probability will become a big boost for A shares. After all, this batch of funds is difficult to withdraw, and it is also a typical long-term fund.Generally speaking, I will pay attention to one point today. Let's see if we can stand at 3489.78 points at the close. If we stand up, it will be dangerous, and the daily line will have a double deviation structure! If you can't stand up, then the small high point suppression still exists here, and the market will continue to fluctuate and adjust the structure with great probability! Just remember one thing, don't chase after short-term gains!

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